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Politics

Clinton would win if vote were held today: poll

Opening sequence

Opening sequence

Politics

Clinton would win if vote were held today: poll

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17:39
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COMING UP:Clinton would win if vote were held today: poll

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Transcript

00:00:01
>> If the election were held today, Hillary Clinton would win. I'm Mo Tamman and I'm the editor who helped create the States of the Nation Poll, a weekly poll of about 16,000 people. And what that poll is showing us right now is that Donald Trump has a pretty steep hill to climb.
00:00:19
And that Hillary Clinton has a distinct advantage in most of the larger states and a lot of the swing states as well. And as a result of that, unless he can change who turns out to vote for him he's gonna have a very tough time come November. As it stands right now, it appears that Clinton is gonna win about 19 states to Donald Trump's 21.
00:00:38
The difference of course is that most of Hillary Clinton's victories are in much larger states, with many more electoral college votes. Donald Trump's wins are gonna be in much smaller states with far fewer electoral college votes. In order for Donald Trump to really win he has to do one of two things.
00:00:54
He either has to find a way to appeal to minority votes in particular. Or he has to increase his turnout significantly among Republicans and especially white Republicans. And it would help if everyone else didn't show up as often as they would normally. I don't think it's any coincidence that in the last week or so, perhaps even longer, we've started to see Donald Trump make at least some attempt to reach out to minority communities.
00:01:21
>> What do you have to lose?>> There are still some rather large states that are too close to call right now. North Carolina is still up for grabs. Michigan is still up for grabs, and it appears that Pennsylvania may be up for grabs. And in order for Donald Trump to really have any chance of winning, he has to have a good showing certainly in Pennsylvania and really in North Carolina as well.
00:01:45
We will be tracking this every week and be publishing new results every week. So, it'll be interesting to see how, when Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump get on the stage together and start debating the issues. How that's gonna influence people's opinions and how they're gonna vote in November.