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Replay Program

Politics

How did the polls get it so wrong?

Opening sequence

Opening sequence

Politics

How did the polls get it so wrong?

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17:33
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COMING UP:How did the polls get it so wrong?

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Transcript

00:00:00
>> It wasn't just the silent majority, the poll suggested it was invisible too. So how did they get it so wrong? Reuters UK Bureau Chief Guy Faulconbridge has been sifting through the numbers.>> So sampling certainly may be an area that US pollsters are looking at. Also, on turnout, they'd be looking.
00:00:18
But again, it's an incredibly complex election if you think of all of those states, all of those electoral votes.>> At the moment, it looks like Clinton may have even won the most votes overall but not in the states where it mattered. Trumped by the kind of populist movement that shocked Britain with Brexit and fooled the polls then too.
00:00:38
>> The polls may not be picking up, the anger and the discontent the establishment in those polls, and that therefore, they are somehow not being able to predict the result in a way they might be able to for a more traditional election.>> But the polls have also got those wrong.
00:00:56
The UK general election in 2015 and the Israeli election the same year. Prompting many to wonder if they still have a place.>> I asked several pollsters that this morning and basically the answer for moments to all of them was no, this isn't the end of polling because people basically want to have some sort of indication before a major event of what's gonna happen.
00:01:18
When you think about it, it's very difficult to replace polling with something else. So what they're gonna try to do is come up with a better way of polling.>> But having got it so wrong this time, pollsters may find it hard to win back trust.