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> This Chinese space station's expected to plummet back to Earth this weekend. And no one is sure exactly where it will crash. It could be anywhere between the 43rd North and South parallels. That enompasses everywhere from England to New Zealand. Not exactly a narrow target, but the chance of the Tiangong-1 hitting a populated area now, much less you specifically, is very, very small.
You're more likely to be hit by lightning. The European Space Agency is seen monitoring it here.>> So such kind of uncontrolled reentries happen regularly, there's roughly one event per week. The space station Tiangong is clearly the largest object in this year. So it's quite exceptional. The risk, though, on ground is still very low.
There have been 30,000 tons of space hardware coming down in the whole history of space magic. And there's no single reported casualty.>> Tiangong was China's first space station when it launched seven years ago. It only ever had two visits from astronauts, and was originally supposed to be decommissioned back in 2013.
But its mission kept getting extended, which led some scientists, including at the ESA, to believe that China had actually lost control of the spacecraft. It's a claim that Beijing denies. Either way it will be a fiery blaze of glory as it falls, looking like a shooting star to most people on the ground, but slower.
Tiangong-1 is succeeded by its younger sibling, the Tiangong-2.